TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,261 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd95d…0947backed No0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c26,614$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,449.7398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes42c15,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+69.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.9312055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No58c5,239$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.62580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0301275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No58c3,190$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No58c3,169$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4502065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No25c2,183$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.039431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Yes47c2,020$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No58c1,541$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No51c1,380$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes43c1,108$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c1,021$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4614955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.95558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c856.49$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8128659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes43c767.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c729.84$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c714.98$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes43c697.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.442080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c611.98$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No57c608$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No57c550.83$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes42c434.78$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.173354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No58c410.48$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.087048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes41c405.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes42c349.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.492147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No16c335.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c285.79$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes41c258.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5114755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes59c243$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.636471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Yes43c239.12$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c233.04$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5410857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed No58c229.31$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes46c218.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.284845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1186129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No57c196.15$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes43c194.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No58c173.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes42c154.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.763050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes40c151.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.752250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed No58c150.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.756563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No58c145.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.779257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No58c137.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.074355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Yes45c122.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No58c119.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c118.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0624732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c117.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.646823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8020…7af1backed Yes43c116.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes39c103.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.897631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes43c103.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes40c102.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.315100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No60c101.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked No59c101.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No58c98.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.423450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.244546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes41c92.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes42c86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.925935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.55156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes40c73.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.552138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c73.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.412544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No51c71.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.412532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes44c64.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes43c63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.642835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Yes43c62.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.