Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77d7e3fa55ff780601727403ad841192443ef43119c55639394737bb7a40f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,287 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 0c | 24,995$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 68c | 4,366$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,260$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.92 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 33c | 1,107$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 1,078$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,027$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 680.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 462$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 9c | 438$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 402.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 242.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 35c | 214.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 179.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 167.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 33c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 32c | 83.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 81.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 30c | 73.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 69.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 59.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 58.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 48.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 28c | 46.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 33c | 35.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.