Australian A League · resolved market
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaea26dea9cd74aa816632378bc68952d3a42b444c660d3e7284df0e200e1027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 816.03$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 797.43$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 27c | 741.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 733.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 468$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 73c | 403$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 288.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 39c | 202.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 167.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 21c | 139.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 132$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 131.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 111.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 37c | 100.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 99.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 94.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 70.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 27c | 50.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 75c | 40.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 74c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 78c | 20.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.