South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52290054c91d14f68bfee7440ed37993bd967745d094d15fac1275ea3b5ee7fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 19c | 46,687$8,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,890.93 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 19c | 23,564$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.81 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 17,333$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 71c | 12,476$8,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.85 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 18c | 12,176$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.17 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 67c | 10,521$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.15 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 19c | 10,516$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.92 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 8,941$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.02 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 80c | 5,780$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 71c | 4,944$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.91 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 3,011$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 18c | 2,129$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.59 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 1,882$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 27c | 1,611$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 1,526$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.88 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 80c | 1,440$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.27 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 1,424$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 28c | 1,365$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,323$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 61c | 1,152$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 897.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 35c | 888$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 33c | 853.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 719.69$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed No | 18c | 680.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 31c | 675.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 19c | 506.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 483.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 21c | 468.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 34c | 438.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 33c | 377.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 30c | 301.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 65c | 263.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…818abacked Yes | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 72c | 235.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…5c5cbacked No | 31c | 212.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 27c | 201$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…93efbacked No | 15c | 198.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 185.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 75c | 175.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 10c | 175.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 174.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed No | 12c | 171.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 24c | 160.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked No | 28c | 157.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 31c | 150.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked No | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 19c | 138.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked No | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 24c | 114.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked No | 28c | 110.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 72c | 110.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 31c | 100.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 28c | 91.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1282…97f1backed Yes | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 63c | 80.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 67c | 78.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…8f5dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 77c | 74.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 78c | 73.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 21c | 72.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…949bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 63c | 66.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 29c | 65.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…b97fbacked No | 34c | 58.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 56.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed No | 19c | 53.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 67c | 50.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 25c | 50.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 50.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 74c | 50.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 68c | 48.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 69c | 46.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 69c | 44.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 44.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 43.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 64c | 43.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 70c | 41.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.