NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3cc85dde0a69ae99e32374d7cf732334fdb63a81ce921c0e6543a874ef56c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Maple Leafs, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,437 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 23,082$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.49 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 18,107$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,061.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 10,241$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.28 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 61c | 9,500$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.12 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens | 80c | 8,754$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.74 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.07 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 60c | 8,141$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 7,947$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 6,836$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Maple Leafs | 14c | 6,107$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 61c | 6,000$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 5,847$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.4 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Canadiens | 61c | 5,574$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.4 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 5,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 4,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.31 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 3,783$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.09 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,906$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.27 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,363$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.71 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens | 60c | 2,222$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.79 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,038$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.4 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,014$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens | 61c | 1,972$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.18 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 63c | 1,903$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.16 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,822$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.39 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 79c | 1,752$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.31 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 1,429$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 61c | 1,201$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.67 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,088$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.19 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,084$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.93 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,047$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.67 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,002$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Canadiens | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Maple Leafs | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Canadiens | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Canadiens | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 761.39$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.33 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d022backed Canadiens | 79c | 756.09$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 716.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 688.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 680$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Canadiens | 60c | 665.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Canadiens | 61c | 656.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 625.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…07c3backed Canadiens | 61c | 599.14$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 598.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 584.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens | 61c | 562.83$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…bbc6backed Canadiens | 62c | 513.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…a137backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 513.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 511$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…7b53backed Canadiens | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…cd6ebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…cfe1backed Canadiens | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 471.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 462.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 11c | 458$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Canadiens | 60c | 418$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Canadiens | 61c | 410.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 400.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Canadiens | 61c | 389$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 386.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Canadiens | 62c | 362$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 362$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Canadiens | 61c | 359.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 357.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 356.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…87dcbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 356.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Canadiens | 61c | 354.56$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 353.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 348.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 343.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 340.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Canadiens | 61c | 336.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Canadiens | 61c | 328.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Canadiens | 77c | 325.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Canadiens | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…2667backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 300.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Canadiens | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Canadiens | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 59c | 299.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…81a3backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 296.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 276.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 273.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 250.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Canadiens | 61c | 242.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.