Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e1daf4421b2c399a672229c020d82cd79252f077a054786eeb1bbfadeb1f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86d9…ec57backed No | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 52c | 20,292$10,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600.82 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 50c | 16,632$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.72 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 63c | 14,032$8,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.17 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 22c | 10,631$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.78 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 54c | 9,322$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.45 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed No | 22c | 7,305$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.9 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 58c | 7,100$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.98 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 58c | 4,007$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.24 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 3,872$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.57 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 45c | 3,516$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.47 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 38c | 3,146$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.47 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 8c | 3,045$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…0062backed No | 18c | 3,007$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +779.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,963$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 43c | 2,701$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.44 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…62a5backed Yes | 50c | 2,531$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 3c | 2,150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,086$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 25c | 1,988$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.07 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 54c | 1,826$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.37 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked No | 56c | 1,614$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 20c | 1,574$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 26c | 1,329$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.64 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,232$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,200$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Yes | 63c | 1,175$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 19c | 1,029$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,020$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 31c | 999.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 999.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 28c | 991.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…83a9backed No | 5c | 983.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 44c | 963.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.02 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 30c | 893.12$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.18 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Yes | 68c | 885.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 5c | 870.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…cc56backed No | 57c | 849.37$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.93 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 27c | 847.15$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 822$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 74c | 809.16$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 65c | 805$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 80c | 804$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed No | 69c | 786.98$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.09 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 780.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 80c | 770$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 764.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 60c | 717$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 61c | 700.64$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 38c | 696.43$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a6dbacked No | 54c | 685.91$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 62c | 647.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed No | 10c | 599.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 47c | 566.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 31c | 555$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…9314backed No | 73c | 551.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 547.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 31c | 524.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…54c6backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 75c | 476.37$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…92cbbacked Yes | 79c | 465.19$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 42c | 464.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…94a3backed Yes | 58c | 459.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 42c | 443.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…0a19backed Yes | 62c | 443.71$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0572…04d6backed No | 13c | 432.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 54c | 429.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 73c | 428.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked No | 5c | 412.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 22c | 400.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…a1b5backed No | 8c | 397.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 37c | 395$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 3c | 387.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 37c | 375$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 374.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed No | 57c | 350.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 349.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 20c | 348.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 33c | 348.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…8b0abacked Yes | 58c | 342.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…0a05backed No | 31c | 323.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 64c | 313.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…190ebacked Yes | 51c | 300.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed No | 57c | 290.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 16c | 290.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 34c | 284$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.12 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…8708backed Yes | 56c | 283$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 33c | 276.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2c18backed Yes | 55c | 276.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…0acfbacked No | 9c | 275.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed No | 52c | 274.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 21c | 274.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 255.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 28c | 254.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 30c | 253.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 63c | 251.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.