Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da4e6d921b612d0eddef53faea3d64e1a9b6e9eeec7459c5773890094516348

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $313,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa459…7dd6backed Yes	0c	33,544$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8814…dcc9backed Yes	0c	26,478$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc80f…6147backed Yes	0c	16,333$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	14	0%0 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes	0c	10,110$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c4…953cbacked Yes	2c	9,455$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.67	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	9,374$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	1c	6,753$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.27	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	5c	6,554$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.9	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	2c	6,066$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.85	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	6,000$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b2…3742backed Yes	3c	5,121$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	5c	5,004$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.1	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9f…3a9ebacked Yes	1c	4,808$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	4,564$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.29	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	4,396$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	7c	4,220$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	4,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	3,775$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8354…3968backed Yes	1c	3,569$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	3,381$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.67	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,768$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.28	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	4c	2,727$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.03	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	2,568$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	2,400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	2,310$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.39	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	2,295$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,291$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.11	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	4c	2,227$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.29	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7d…8e33backed Yes	0c	2,062$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	9c	2,062$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.07	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,987$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,834$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.88	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b2…490dbacked Yes	12c	1,719$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	9c	1,538$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.46	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	9c	1,500$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	3c	1,494$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	1,261$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.21	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	5c	1,234$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	5c	1,231$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	9c	1,200$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	6c	1,165$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.61	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	6c	1,030$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	10c	1,007$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	2c	1,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	2c	999.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	2c	950$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	6c	940.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	7c	885.45$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.2	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	12c	882.49$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.58	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa752…e19fbacked Yes	2c	870.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ac…3a04backed Yes	11c	860.19$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060a…e99abacked Yes	2c	849.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035f…33ebbacked Yes	1c	786.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	768.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	8c	740.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.82	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	8c	732.2$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.33	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	724.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	9c	649.76$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.53	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	3c	643.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	2c	635.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	11c	629.57$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes	13c	600.16$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	599.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	3c	559.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Yes	2c	557.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	4c	550.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	7c	499.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2a…3008backed Yes	6c	498.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c1…7237backed Yes	7c	473.27$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.1	127	37%47 W · 80 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7094…2c4dbacked Yes	6c	463$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.24	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	4c	450$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	447.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb5…6234backed Yes	2c	441.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	10c	429.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.53	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9816…833ebacked Yes	4c	428.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	191	27.7%53 W · 138 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	11c	409.21$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.39	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	8c	400.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	3c	399.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	5c	397.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	7c	349$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ed…deebbacked Yes	11c	339.52$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.62	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+197.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked Yes	8c	328.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+209.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	5c	314.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…2288backed Yes	7c	299.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b7…db6fbacked Yes	11c	277.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	5c	256.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x549b…98d6backed Yes	4c	254.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	10c	234.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	9c	231.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	5c	219.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	11c	214.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Yes	13c	209.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Yes	7c	204.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+215.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84f…97e7backed Yes	10c	186.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	10c	171.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc819…8c33backed Yes	8c	150.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event