Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55cb86504aa6bad5cd17426e872d8e620cbb4491661cbaa7f7836b9532545d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 6c | 18,586$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.01 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 11c | 16,994$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.15 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 0c | 6,139$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 137 | 13.1%18 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 3c | 3,715$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes | 11c | 2,577$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 80 | 8.8%7 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,469$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 14c | 2,437$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 13c | 2,420$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 14c | 1,871$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.7 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 13c | 1,809$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,695$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 7c | 1,667$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 76c | 1,665$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 1,603$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 12c | 1,577$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 1,480$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,410$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes | 28c | 1,347$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,220$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked No | 77c | 1,050$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 19c | 1,030$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 12c | 969$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…6e29backed Yes | 15c | 643.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 19c | 633.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 18c | 578.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 18c | 574.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 10c | 535.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 19c | 490$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 218 | 18.3%40 W · 178 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…4721backed Yes | 10c | 467.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked Yes | 14c | 456.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 403.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 118 | 5.9%7 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…cba8backed Yes | 29c | 339.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…8687backed Yes | 19c | 332.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed Yes | 8c | 324$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…26e7backed Yes | 11c | 302.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 13c | 256.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…0b10backed Yes | 5c | 249.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 213.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 28c | 208.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 28c | 207$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 193 | 17.6%34 W · 159 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 13c | 204.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…2305backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 184 | 24.5%45 W · 139 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 161 | 19.9%32 W · 129 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 19c | 197.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 194.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Yes | 8c | 189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…50fabacked Yes | 17c | 175.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 14c | 170$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…65c3backed Yes | 12c | 169.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…12bfbacked Yes | 14c | 165.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 8c | 157$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…8c33backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 17c | 148.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 18c | 135.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…65bfbacked Yes | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 320 | 15%48 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…24ffbacked Yes | 16c | 120.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…a511backed Yes | 11c | 112.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 111.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…fa29backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +160%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…1ab3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…7940backed No | 73c | 99.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…c15abacked Yes | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 16c | 88.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…ed39backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…8796backed Yes | 28c | 70.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…2dd0backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…7fc6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 28c | 41.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…b3c5backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 88 | 19.3%17 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…7a79backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…5c0cbacked No | 80c | 22.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…701ebacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 86 | 79.1%68 W · 18 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.