Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2a8b78b429b2843181fc0f5fc55049be42edf5459de874e97121510273ae72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,442$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.34 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 629.67$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 472.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 352.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 26c | 292.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 4c | 274.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 28c | 172.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 7c | 157.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…de5dbacked No | 72c | 142.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 78.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Yes | 28c | 68.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 64.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 50.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 46.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a0f3backed Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked No | 73c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked No | 74c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…c410backed No | 74c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.