TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No76c4,531$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.83,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c3,850$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.3491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes27c2,963$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No73c2,734$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.132860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes5c2,730$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.489021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c1,717$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.728254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes27c1,365$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.152536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No74c1,310$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No73c1,275$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.92860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c1,222$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,151$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c1,085$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c1,037$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes29c965.06$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes4c950.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.816030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes27c846.26$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5810…ae81backed Yes26c741.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes20c666$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No76c654.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c606.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7131849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes27c511.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1385947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c508.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.068947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes28c499.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.762944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes5c452.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c408.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0714042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes22c403.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.761030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes26c365.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes26c346.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.733836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Yes28c346$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes25c323.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.522445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes25c314.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No74c297.3$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdde…23a6backed Yes27c285.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes27c257.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes25c257.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c252.02$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes27c245.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.372133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No74c221.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.721392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes23c211.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.684757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6927…21adbacked No74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes29c200.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e64…b7b5backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d32…f958backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b5…a393backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes27c172.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c169.92$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No74c169$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.946136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes30c167.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c167.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9427644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked No77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes27c148.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.149257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11776.5%13 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick77cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes22c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5024…057fbacked Yes26c126.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes26c122.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303129%9 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0851…1de8backed Yes28c110.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Yes27c109.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes18c104.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.763644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12dc…9832backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ad…0acdbacked Yes27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3902…43f8backed Yes25c103$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c102.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c102.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.512633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afa…890fbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes26c97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2216543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x956d…b750backed Yes26c94.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c93.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5520048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c88.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.974369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes26c88.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.