TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes55c23,471$12,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,540.6841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No48c16,599$7,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,967.282650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c16,009$7,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,114.651,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes67c13,551$9,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.2447748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Yes51c5,000$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c3,932$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.8923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c3,931$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.7499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c3,470$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.6177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c2,736$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.2797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c2,244$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.123,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No47c1,946$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.4213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No48c1,537$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.8113046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No44c1,430$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6293855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No49c1,334$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.633033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No44c1,273$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes56c1,259$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4608547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-66.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No48c930.16$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes52c835.92$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.241866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c819$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes56c807.91$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes48c769.23$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.7115458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c671.78$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5818655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No43c658.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.374548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked No33c568.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No44c528$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No44c498.3$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b74…b8abbacked Yes53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No45c473.51$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.085255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c454$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.641,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No44c440$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c419.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No12c368.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9528851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No12c341.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0710249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes45c330$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c233.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No44c231$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.689652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c221.76$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes77c206$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.328971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No15c196.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.458041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No18c195.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.12634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No28c182.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.571936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No47c176$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.729245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No31c171.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.873834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes56c169.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c148.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.391,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No44c147.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No46c115.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0210755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes69c109$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.148560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes51c105.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.886124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes76c98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.137974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c97.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No44c96.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes52c96.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.543056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No42c91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1215144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a5…2563backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…007bbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8411563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0823…8803backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No44c75.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.116642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No56c74.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No44c68.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1217858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.049250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No44c62.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Yes51c56.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes51c52.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.97074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes75c50.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.176443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c46.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes55c44.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes56c44.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Yes51c43.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No45c43.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.322642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd187…6e50backed No46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked No48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.424447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4049…d92abacked No26c40.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.610754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.78568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.