Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3adc63285471a665edea6576c0153cf97f1d53a38dbae597dfd915ba17f074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,093$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 999.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 865.4$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 31c | 747.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 63c | 722.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 77c | 648.3$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 565.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 36c | 397.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 374.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 255$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 66c | 245.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 63c | 205$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…a54cbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 65c | 152.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 140.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 138.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 116.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 65c | 110.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 65c | 108.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 100.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 100.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 65c | 100.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 98.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 90.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 72.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 35c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 69c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Yes | 37c | 56.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 32c | 54.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 34c | 50.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed Yes | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed No | 71c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.