Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198a4c0df0091ac1ea64c8ade9650b6f46d9a21250959ff81ecd148ca1b7a3df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 48c | 1,378$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.41 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 13c | 993.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 25c | 948.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x027d…9606backed No | 49c | 818.07$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 738.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.32 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 510.59$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 503.34$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 39c | 312.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 308.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 301.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 46c | 280.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 59c | 263.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 256.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.67 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 58c | 252.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 37c | 212.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 211.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Yes | 39c | 179.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 172$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 171.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 62c | 149.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 48c | 137.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 59c | 136.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 135.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 126.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 40c | 100.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed No | 53c | 95.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 57c | 87.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 57c | 87.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 16c | 82.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 49c | 71.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 41c | 69.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 67.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 59c | 55.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 54.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 68c | 49.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 31c | 49.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 37c | 49.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 49.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 39c | 45.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 59c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 59c | 38.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Yes | 49c | 35.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 43c | 35.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 49c | 33.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 49c | 33.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 55c | 31.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 62c | 30.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 62c | 23.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 47c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 69c | 19.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.