NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcddf78a760d21f8d111def08e75b3133d32e9a94a232e86cee75f1e759f4810c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Spurs, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,146 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 50c | 480,639$238,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238,395 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers | 50c | 180,897$90,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,448.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 51c | 53,943$27,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,641.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 50c | 51,164$25,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.12 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Pacers | 51c | 31,200$15,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,288 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Pacers | 51c | 31,194$15,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,284.89 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 51c | 20,823$10,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers | 52c | 20,800$10,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Spurs | 50c | 15,245$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,622.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 54c | 14,533$7,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.77 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 51c | 13,628$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs | 49c | 12,427$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.26 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 51c | 11,900$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 47c | 11,465$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.28 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Spurs | 47c | 10,729$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.28 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 48c | 9,946$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.06 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers | 53c | 8,630$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.88 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Spurs | 45c | 7,622$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.92 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 51c | 5,658$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,805$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…76b9backed Spurs | 49c | 4,767$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…6d4ebacked Spurs | 49c | 3,940$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 48c | 3,383$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Spurs | 50c | 3,267$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.46 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 3,179$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.67 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,805$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.45 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers | 51c | 1,684$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.08 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pacers | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.65 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Pacers | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Spurs | 46c | 1,461$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.29 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 49c | 1,389$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.61 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 44c | 1,374$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.62 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 52c | 1,274$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 49c | 1,191$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.71 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Spurs | 49c | 1,073$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 48c | 1,030$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pacers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pacers | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 51c | 824.47$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 46c | 803.37$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Spurs | 46c | 700.46$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Spurs | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Spurs | 49c | 561.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 50c | 549.94$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 48c | 540$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Spurs | 57c | 525.79$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…e1b8backed Spurs | 54c | 510.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 50c | 502.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pacers | 55c | 467.62$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Pacers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Spurs | 50c | 387.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 50c | 386.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.17 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Pacers | 53c | 342.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Spurs | 49c | 318$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Spurs | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Pacers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Spurs | 48c | 247$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Spurs | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Pacers | 46c | 240.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Spurs | 49c | 238.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Pacers | 53c | 237.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Pacers | 53c | 237.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Pacers | 53c | 236.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Spurs | 56c | 219.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Spurs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 47c | 201.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Pacers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pacers | 45c | 192.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pacers | 53c | 191.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 47c | 184.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 49c | 179.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Pacers | 56c | 178.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Spurs | 47c | 168.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…1a45backed Pacers | 56c | 166.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 48c | 155.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Spurs | 47c | 151$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Spurs | 48c | 151$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Spurs | 47c | 141.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pacers | 52c | 128.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pacers | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Pacers won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.