NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b0cd6b9b80e178f4ae31c6809193ab6a14f5ca871d62bf03ed5df694af4034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 55c | 9,444$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…4b5dbacked Under | 44c | 6,366$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…240dbacked Under | 44c | 6,018$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…8559backed Under | 44c | 5,434$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801a…10cebacked Over | 56c | 5,374$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…51b6backed Over | 56c | 5,352$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…feeabacked Over | 56c | 4,966$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…eaa4backed Under | 44c | 4,822$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…5d9cbacked Over | 56c | 4,822$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…9934backed Over | 56c | 3,324$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 1,782$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.03 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 1,781$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.33 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 45c | 1,530$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 1,506$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c0…0a63backed Under | 44c | 1,212$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 987.82$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 16c | 922.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 45c | 742.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…7adcbacked Over | 56c | 644$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…37a4backed Under | 44c | 630$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 604.76$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ec7bbacked Under | 45c | 286.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 278.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 237.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…4a5cbacked Under | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…ef8dbacked Under | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 97.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 90.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…02d7backed Over | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Over | 80c | 57.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 56.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 56.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 35c | 55.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…c549backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…1fb9backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…eb14backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 59c | 42.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…5fe3backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…85ddbacked Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 31c | 36.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…dce7backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 45c | 27.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…1e87backed Under | 45c | 24.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Pacers won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.