TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$885,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $885,849 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c283,857$153,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,629.9387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under46c90,000$41,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,400.062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under47c81,478$38,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,294.5623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Over51c45,310$23,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,202.063366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under46c37,205$17,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,114.2329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over53c30,127$16,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,038.8266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under46c21,570$9,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,92220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ab…d7ddbacked Under49c20,053$9,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,825.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Over54c18,519$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.5210049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c18,424$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,629.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under45c17,856$8,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,034.995658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…26e7backed Under49c16,823$8,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,243.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f440backed Over51c16,528$8,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f65…98e9backed Under49c15,935$7,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,808.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc780…4397backed Over51c13,071$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x756a…d380backed Over51c13,022$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,380.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under46c12,962$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9759855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,52024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaaf…6c3dbacked Over51c11,752$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,758.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc18f…a78bbacked Over51c11,325$5,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a3…ec5dbacked Under49c11,164$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd703…5746backed Under49c10,838$5,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,310.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa98…d070backed Under49c10,765$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb356…670dbacked Under49c10,591$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662e…450fbacked Under49c10,408$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…4517backed Over51c10,339$5,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba7…a363backed Under49c10,126$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…7c54backed Under49c10,102$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2300…321cbacked Under49c10,081$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda6…ca21backed Over51c10,010$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c9,908$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.8431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f8…0177backed Under49c9,902$4,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,851.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…18c2backed Under49c9,873$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069c…2432backed Over51c9,824$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,813.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+82.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6844…4afdbacked Under49c9,754$4,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…bca6backed Over51c9,731$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb044…8c94backed Over51c9,141$4,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6610…6673backed Over51c8,750$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under45c8,523$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,835.226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa206…1ff5backed Over51c8,374$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,103.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c7,887$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.991,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c7,886$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.421,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf1…6eebbacked Under49c7,873$3,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,857.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…ac07backed Over51c7,715$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ed9abacked Over51c7,521$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.29887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick49cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Under48c7,392$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.163943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over55c7,069$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.0912844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,897$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c6,807$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8c…0f22backed Over51c6,298$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x545c…3b68backed Over51c6,129$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3acf…2921backed Over51c5,439$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x605a…3f8abacked Under49c5,247$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c5,186$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f42…8973backed Under49c5,147$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e80…094abacked Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7302…d505backed Under49c5,051$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…3f56backed Under49c4,923$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f63…12dfbacked Under49c4,890$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe5…25edbacked Over51c4,602$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c4,572$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.871,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f2…af53backed Over51c4,426$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…52afbacked Over51c4,358$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under47c4,261$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.8541954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under49c4,258$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.7624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb43…fc3cbacked Over51c4,212$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under50c4,196$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.239952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fc…cd67backed Under49c4,189$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.47742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…91a2backed Over51c3,965$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.851154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c3,818$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.4937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c3,660$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0211…e30cbacked Over51c3,118$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.821060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c3,066$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0b…dd57backed Under49c2,910$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c2,482$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d44…d28dbacked Under49c2,342$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c2,332$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.0733945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over50c2,303$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.268648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe915…6799backed Over51c2,277$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31f2…fb6ebacked Under49c2,171$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c96…4fa0backed Under49c2,132$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04a…ed8ebacked Under49c2,116$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cb…66f4backed Under49c2,088$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.12540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a6…8d3bbacked Under49c2,063$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.87988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd110…a0a4backed Under49c2,019$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under47c2,011$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.1624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…8863backed Under49c1,973$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c1,908$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…4463backed Under49c1,902$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under47c1,831$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5725049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.9716953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1485…96fcbacked Under49c1,787$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7992,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c1,641$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ae…4c27backed Under49c1,318$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over55c1,313$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.943452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under47c1,226$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…2be9backed Under49c1,179$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.