NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d153776a09b6290d1543af58434f6d84254b966662db2a64500908b00a81cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Over | 51c | 63,897$32,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,569.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 56,871$28,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,334.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 28,921$14,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 50c | 19,540$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,769.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 50c | 14,342$7,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,171 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 50c | 12,867$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 51c | 8,555$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.05 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 8,002$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 6,445$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.15 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,702$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 3,903$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.71 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 50c | 3,838$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 3,085$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 1,971$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 1,796$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.94 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,054$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 914$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 50c | 880.92$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…249bbacked Over | 50c | 752$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 21c | 599.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 541.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 512$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 55c | 363.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 48c | 241$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 211.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 148.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 131.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 51c | 80.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Under | 50c | 78.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 73.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…882abacked Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 78c | 52.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 51.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Under | 38c | 46.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…95a6backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…6dd8backed Under | 53c | 22.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 20.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…5874backed Under | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Pacers won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.