TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$827,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,488 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c309,001$160,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,130.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c124,918$64,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,960.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c106,974$51,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,018.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under48c96,154$46,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,153.915658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c85,000$44,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,80060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under48c75,950$36,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,45629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c75,722$36,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,346.4226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c68,437$32,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,849.5966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c33,749$16,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,536.8832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under48c32,231$15,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,470.8828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c27,550$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c24,998$12,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.231,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c21,561$10,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,485.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under48c21,238$10,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,188.716039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under49c20,116$9,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,85720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c13,837$6,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,780.1331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c12,139$6,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,826.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f45…a321backed Over52c8,621$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.141540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under49c6,423$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.3523147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c5,097$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c4,996$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.991,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c4,893$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.6971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c4,397$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under49c3,492$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.088148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fa…249bbacked Under50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under48c2,730$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under49c2,602$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2759855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c2,570$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.192,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c2,411$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c2,405$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.451,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…6395backed Under49c2,241$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c1,705$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.093,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,575$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.144,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,380$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.253,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under18c1,070$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over53c1,067$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.4925049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,020$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under37c999.77$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9118536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5418748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over52c853.19$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c846.54$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over52c823.15$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.613452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c790$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.72,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c788.89$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under53c780$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.417540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under41c739.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under49c705.63$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7622154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34349345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c655.42$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.052,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c643$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c637.5$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over52c594.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c594.13$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under49c560$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c497.49$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over61c478.49$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under18c429.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over53c403$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4126756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c400.04$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c388.34$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over53c386.36$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6219145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.214452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under49c321$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.296949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c296.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.652,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over52c292.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Under37c270.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over47c236.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under44c226.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under49c221.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7421550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c215.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.612,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695c…85ddbacked Over53c212.75$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c206.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c204.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over53c197.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8525049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f8…0ce9backed Under6c196.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under50c188.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4218143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6814156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Over52c186$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.288342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c183.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.