TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Pacers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,390,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,390,457 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Pacers1c519,690$6,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,131.254619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers10c485,000$47,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,914.8543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers7c212,011$14,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,840.7487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers8c139,227$11,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,668.1448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers6c113,682$7,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.999053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers6c61,059$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.9647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers6c53,645$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.461,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers8c30,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40032540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Pacers9c16,277$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.7821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers1c15,608$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.391,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers9c14,709$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers2c14,081$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.397211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers9c13,932$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers9c13,332$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Pacers8c13,148$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.8612042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pacers0c12,772$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5416919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c11,494$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.375213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers9c11,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers7c10,032$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.211,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers0c9,560$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.613179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pacers9c9,152$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.3624841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers8c8,125$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers6c7,727$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Pacers9c7,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3401…2c62backed Pacers0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c6,397$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pacers6c6,250$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37524247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Pacers8c5,243$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3959343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked Pacers0c5,039$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Pacers0c5,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35029250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Pacers1c4,894$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Pacers7c3,449$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.445928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34c6…3637backed Pacers7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Pacers7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers5c2,789$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.221,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Pacers7c2,643$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18512357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Pacers7c2,616$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1262539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Pacers7c2,610$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.714245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c2,531$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.311,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Pacers9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Pacers7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Pacers6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ac…fc08backed Pacers2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e98…3a8abacked Pacers7c1,943$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.042416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Pacers6c1,850$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Pacers9c1,841$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.734148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers2c1,731$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Pacers3c1,700$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527324.5%67 W · 206 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…be86backed Pacers6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57c…2975backed Pacers6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Pacers6c1,350$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4b…96c9backed Pacers3c1,269$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Pacers8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Pacers7c1,247$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers5c1,223$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.863,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers1c1,213$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0527848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pacers8c1,212$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Pacers2c1,178$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…a54dbacked Pacers7c1,073$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.192245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Pacers7c1,021$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.532330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd045…1699backed Pacers2c1,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers6c997.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8644337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers9c995.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf526…2fbdbacked Pacers9c925$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.252931%9 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e40…fc98backed Pacers3c869.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f6…d1d3backed Pacers6c711.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78333.7%28 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Pacers2c707.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pacers6c696.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…a329backed Pacers3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pacers7c665$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Pacers7c626$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8229345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers7c624.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0c…1c0dbacked Pacers7c611.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc520…63e6backed Pacers6c555$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2846…ab38backed Pacers13c549.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pacers6c504.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Pacers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308554.1%46 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0f…7b85backed Pacers3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312941.9%54 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…5602backed Pacers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Pacers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…b98bbacked Pacers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309024.4%22 W · 68 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c91…be57backed Pacers7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Pacers3c499.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.755316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…e691backed Pacers4c497.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Pacers7c497.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.818343.7%80 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Pacers9c488.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.969524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Pacers7c423.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.652544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.