TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,547 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Pacers57c22,825$12,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,839.4810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers54c18,580$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,634.941,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers56c18,533$10,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,117.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers55c15,478$8,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,965.0429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Spurs42c14,100$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,92235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs43c13,543$5,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,817.5828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs44c8,416$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs46c8,380$3,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers55c7,681$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.8338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs45c7,293$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers50c7,034$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e6…2a4dbacked Pacers49c6,207$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Spurs45c5,085$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.2624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs45c4,612$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs47c4,545$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers50c4,444$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs45c4,032$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Spurs45c4,032$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.42466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs41c3,735$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.361,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Spurs44c3,624$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.9419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers54c3,092$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.1387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs53c2,842$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.532,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs44c2,526$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Spurs60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Spurs45c2,120$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c7…300cbacked Spurs51c2,102$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…a667backed Spurs51c2,071$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd773…ff10backed Spurs51c2,034$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pacers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9915849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e7…9934backed Spurs51c1,950$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs46c1,882$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.5424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…8559backed Spurs51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs45c1,710$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs47c1,700$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.781,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0678…1324backed Spurs51c1,650$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers53c1,642$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Spurs49c1,563$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Spurs44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6651,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f88…8b19backed Spurs51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0349…70b9backed Spurs51c1,460$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb0…2f46backed Spurs51c1,410$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Spurs45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6306357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers53c1,263$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.641,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers51c1,260$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Spurs53c1,249$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.335738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs45c1,164$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.231,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs46c1,084$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.072,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs45c1,082$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48717454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Spurs43c1,075$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers58c1,029$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.182,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Spurs1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pacers54c1,000$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4140947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9926149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pacers47c914.96$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Pacers55c899.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40513339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Spurs2c899.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Spurs1c894.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Spurs45c889.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3627735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Spurs45c837.78$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37715141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pacers49c765.24$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2724247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Spurs45c735.09$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs44c693.52$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Spurs47c670.06$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.932138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Spurs45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x375f…b3b4backed Spurs45c595.56$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spurs45c539.06$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.912,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Spurs42c538.1$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2264845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c0…0a63backed Pacers49c530$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Pacers50c514.87$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.177948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs46c500$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Spurs8c500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd0…feeabacked Pacers49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs52c440$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Spurs52c420.42$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.385234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815c…eaa4backed Pacers49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Pacers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadde…3a0abacked Pacers49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a48…b241backed Pacers49c390.32$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…4cdcbacked Pacers49c390$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcff7…476bbacked Pacers49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x947a…bf9fbacked Pacers49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc713…51b6backed Pacers49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e30…4b5dbacked Pacers49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bb…1001backed Pacers49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Pacers49c358.12$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.436342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa7c…9ee2backed Pacers49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…5d9cbacked Pacers49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Spurs51c347.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.782657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…37a4backed Pacers49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…653bbacked Pacers49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d2…4400backed Pacers49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x850b…1cefbacked Pacers49c330$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71af…240dbacked Pacers49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Spurs45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cda…0860backed Pacers49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5a…6124backed Pacers49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.