TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,343 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers58c28,887$16,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,160.6987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Spurs42c18,100$7,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6029629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs40c8,934$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.7729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers56c8,719$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.3936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs46c8,651$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers56c7,713$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4dc…e98cbacked Spurs47c6,668$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs42c6,599$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Pacers59c6,539$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.4910459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b86…69fabacked Spurs47c5,802$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d2…4400backed Pacers53c5,626$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs47c5,531$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf596…37a4backed Pacers54c5,494$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa9…7adcbacked Spurs46c5,494$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5a…6124backed Spurs47c5,488$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5c…2c52backed Spurs47c5,236$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce8…f0eabacked Pacers53c4,940$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f88…8b19backed Pacers53c4,746$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850b…1cefbacked Pacers53c4,728$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs44c4,700$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.141,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcade…53dabacked Pacers53c4,350$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Spurs44c3,704$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.5119957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0678…1324backed Spurs47c3,627$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs38c3,352$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…4cdcbacked Pacers53c2,462$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Spurs42c2,028$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.74751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pacers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Pacers56c1,702$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers57c1,661$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Spurs44c1,629$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers59c1,134$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Spurs44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46217454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Spurs44c905$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs42c870.85$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.282,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Spurs42c797.62$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Spurs42c748.24$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.269352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs46c717.7$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pacers58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spurs43c699.61$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44bb…1001backed Pacers53c690$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Pacers38c663.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.924138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Pacers46c577.2$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.695230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers53c495.04$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs44c425.84$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.143,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers59c376.6$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Spurs44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Spurs41c336.53$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8717050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pacers61c327.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Spurs39c320.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs41c243.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Spurs41c236.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.051,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Spurs44c226.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.461464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Spurs47c222.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3516837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Pacers56c212.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4134849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Spurs44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pacers47c202.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers50c197.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers61c179.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Pacers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Spurs54c157.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Spurs45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs44c148.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.21,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pacers54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Pacers55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Pacers59c122.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6720350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs49c119.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs41c115.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs53c109.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs45c104$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pacers57c85.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spurs39c83.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Pacers59c72.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Pacers54c72.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.185259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Spurs42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs44c68.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Spurs45c64.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pacers59c64.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3457250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers41c62.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pacers58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Spurs42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Spurs44c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Pacers60c53.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.534047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pacers52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4134247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Spurs48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610444.2%46 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Pacers59c51.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0634342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Pacers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2143750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Pacers53c49.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Pacers58c49.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4f…c738backed Pacers61c49.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Spurs45c48.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Pacers53c46.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0310462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.