NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b30a0fa58df5720ec23fc4fb2a376f7a89fc316b56b6b1b7f3c3c08b593d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,619$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 56c | 1,139$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.07 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 445.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 89.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…1baabacked Under | 46c | 78.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…abaebacked Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Pacers won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.