TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd10…eb14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT6553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.87
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.03
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.67
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$28.45
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.75
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.02
Kraken vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.16
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.7
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.74
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$19.72
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.69
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Comesanabacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$41.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$235.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.