Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee5cb14214f58559deba12b58065303504a106e3bfc935320765fc5a2171e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Halys, O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed O'Connell | 12c | 7,228$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 71c | 6,979$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.3 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed O'Connell | 5c | 5,332$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked O'Connell | 9c | 4,350$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed O'Connell | 22c | 3,849$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.8 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed O'Connell | 41c | 1,920$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked O'Connell | 48c | 1,376$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked O'Connell | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed O'Connell | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Halys | 58c | 686.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 1,136 | 50%568 W · 568 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed O'Connell | 21c | 665.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed O'Connell | 17c | 583.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed O'Connell | 16c | 583.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Halys | 77c | 512.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed O'Connell | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed O'Connell | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed O'Connell | 10c | 380$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked O'Connell | 49c | 369.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 996 | 39.9%397 W · 599 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed O'Connell | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked O'Connell | 23c | 279.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Halys | 74c | 254.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed O'Connell | 36c | 236.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked O'Connell | 20c | 220.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed O'Connell | 17c | 220.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked O'Connell | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked O'Connell | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Halys | 79c | 198$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed O'Connell | 45c | 196.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked O'Connell | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Halys | 54c | 185.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Halys | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Halys | 51c | 184.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Halys | 55c | 182.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Halys | 79c | 169.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Halys | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Halys | 73c | 168.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed O'Connell | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Halys | 53c | 149.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Halys | 79c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 571 | 44.1%252 W · 319 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked O'Connell | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed O'Connell | 47c | 137$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed O'Connell | 44c | 122.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed O'Connell | 44c | 104.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked O'Connell | 20c | 104.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked O'Connell | 43c | 102.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed O'Connell | 16c | 101.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed O'Connell | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Halys | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…eb14backed Halys | 53c | 87.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked O'Connell | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Halys | 53c | 68.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked O'Connell | 32c | 65.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Halys | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Halys | 55c | 58.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Halys | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed O'Connell | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Halys | 79c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Halys | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked O'Connell | 46c | 47.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…7875backed Halys | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed O'Connell | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 785 | 52.9%415 W · 370 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…0312backed Halys | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Halys | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Halys | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…e467backed Halys | 78c | 35.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed O'Connell | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Halys | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…e6c6backed Halys | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Halys | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Halys | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed Halys | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Halys | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Halys | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.