Middle East · resolved market
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f7ed87460c653102e97db0d70e9fa5a8dd65d8ded48a6cd98ee6991afd8c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $983,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Yes | 58c | 131,117$76,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,300.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 46c | 60,798$27,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,034.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 50c | 54,212$26,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,346.23 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 60c | 38,673$23,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,654.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked No | 73c | 20,709$15,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.07 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +10.0wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…11eebacked Yes | 60c | 19,939$11,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,990.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 34c | 19,550$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked No | 72c | 16,961$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 74c | 16,464$12,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,201.4 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 31c | 15,301$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,494.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked No | 80c | 14,246$11,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…e6e0backed No | 56c | 13,033$7,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,704.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…b6d5backed No | 48c | 12,885$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9d6abacked No | 47c | 12,710$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 57c | 12,071$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed No | 59c | 12,056$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…e00cbacked No | 43c | 11,016$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…4680backed No | 49c | 10,227$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…a958backed No | 50c | 10,010$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 51c | 10,001$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…8494backed Yes | 50c | 9,847$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…178fbacked Yes | 51c | 9,829$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 38c | 9,773$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.09 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 51c | 9,640$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.07 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 50c | 9,443$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.83 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 40c | 9,221$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 60c | 9,180$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.68 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…5333backed Yes | 24c | 8,494$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…3e9abacked Yes | 32c | 7,050$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 53c | 6,422$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.34 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 55c | 6,307$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…8e62backed No | 66c | 6,173$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…ee85backed No | 45c | 6,102$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 32c | 6,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Yes | 55c | 5,539$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 38c | 5,380$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.36 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…fe33backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 43c | 4,998$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.46 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,898$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.93 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 4,665$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.72 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 24c | 4,169$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 58c | 3,847$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed Yes | 75c | 3,765$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 70c | 3,653$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 56c | 3,601$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.36 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,595$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…711bbacked No | 53c | 3,594$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…8c0dbacked No | 79c | 3,416$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…8579backed Yes | 24c | 3,132$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 60c | 2,994$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.44 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,954$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 49c | 2,947$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 60c | 2,894$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.61 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 59c | 2,882$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…772dbacked No | 71c | 2,871$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Yes | 79c | 2,703$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…54e7backed Yes | 69c | 2,697$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 65c | 2,673$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a36dbacked No | 54c | 2,635$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed No | 76c | 2,629$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked No | 44c | 2,614$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 40c | 2,522$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…5c2dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,474$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 8c | 2,449$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 47c | 2,440$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 54c | 2,402$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.73 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 26c | 2,386$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.41 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 66c | 2,381$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 28c | 2,361$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 35c | 2,322$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,286$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…7df8backed Yes | 14c | 2,270$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 19c | 2,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,218$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa828…d6c3backed Yes | 67c | 2,208$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…ddd9backed Yes | 46c | 2,171$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 23c | 2,118$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.95 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…56e8backed Yes | 10c | 2,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…feecbacked No | 26c | 2,017$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 17c | 2,011$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.68 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.26 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…f566backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2965backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked No | 17c | 1,990$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Yes | 65c | 1,977$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Yes | 46c | 1,956$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 22c | 1,935$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…0642backed No | 24c | 1,919$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,917$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.51 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 21c | 1,904$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +352.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed No | 43c | 1,891$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 44c | 1,882$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked No | 56c | 1,831$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 66c | 1,809$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.04 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 3c | 1,767$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.