Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c08575bf76817784ff133142eacc37506f1bdeeeb4d3901bed1189b8091ff03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,051,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 1c | 49,282$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 13c | 21,492$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 13c | 19,693$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…33d0backed Yes | 6c | 17,506$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…208dbacked Yes | 3c | 15,851$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 15c | 14,239$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 14,227$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 13c | 12,094$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.64 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 11,619$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 1c | 10,387$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…2552backed Yes | 9c | 7,447$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 7,443$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.5 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 7,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 6,190$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.79 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 2c | 6,086$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 11c | 5,867$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.78 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…7fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 5,653$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Yes | 0c | 5,612$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,140$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…35ffbacked Yes | 6c | 4,223$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,181$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b4…8b72backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 14c | 2,560$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 1c | 2,534$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 2,533$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 14c | 2,484$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Yes | 2c | 2,438$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,325$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 15c | 2,266$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…eb14backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…df9ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…8489backed Yes | 14c | 2,080$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 2c | 1,991$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,779$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 2c | 1,729$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…40c1backed Yes | 15c | 1,629$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…adc5backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…5604backed Yes | 5c | 1,468$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed Yes | 13c | 1,412$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…edfcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,167$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1949…72f2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…c36ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…62d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 6c | 884.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed Yes | 2c | 843.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad29…0c06backed Yes | 10c | 764.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…96efbacked Yes | 3c | 684.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 11c | 670.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…00aabacked Yes | 15c | 669.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…9e21backed Yes | 2c | 589.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 17c | 577$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…8cd1backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…39b9backed No | 76c | 537.82$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…59bdbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 12c | 499$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…3cd2backed Yes | 12c | 480.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 11c | 434.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 75c | 427.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…99e3backed Yes | 10c | 391.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…22dbbacked Yes | 16c | 381.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…3b0bbacked Yes | 9c | 380$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 12c | 378.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 367.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…3e7ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…91f1backed Yes | 24c | 330.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…4783backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 17c | 311.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Yes | 9c | 266$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…ccc0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…2a58backed Yes | 12c | 228.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…4ec5backed Yes | 15c | 210.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…4774backed Yes | 10c | 209.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…9b33backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…f66bbacked Yes | 16c | 190$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…d9c7backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…9338backed Yes | 14c | 187.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…54efbacked Yes | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…e623backed Yes | 29c | 172.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…6d43backed Yes | 9c | 169.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 9c | 166$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…6198backed Yes | 14c | 165.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…4907backed Yes | 9c | 160.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 7c | 155.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…6811backed Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +693.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 16c | 142.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…4f83backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…568cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…877bbacked Yes | 14c | 130.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.