Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a06b05d49947a302d0c3648add3b6d6660380de6bdb6b79f0007f18daf3adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,262,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,149,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,262,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86ec…a3a7backed Yes | 1c | 434,351$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…e2f6backed Yes | 1c | 299,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…0b56backed Yes | 10c | 292,588$28,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,256.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 216,633$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.29 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…ed05backed Yes | 9c | 213,178$19,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,218.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…1811backed Yes | 0c | 111,417$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 1c | 106,514$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.56 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…2f0ebacked Yes | 1c | 103,147$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac59…029ebacked Yes | 1c | 85,462$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 1c | 77,548$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 67,513$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.06 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 66,435$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.77 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 2c | 63,428$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 62,586$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.13 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 1c | 54,554$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…393dbacked Yes | 1c | 53,414$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 1c | 50,001$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 4c | 48,372$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…b242backed Yes | 2c | 47,777$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 40,951$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.88 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…d9eabacked Yes | 2c | 36,552$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 36,087$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…c412backed Yes | 1c | 33,347$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…f859backed Yes | 2c | 32,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…9069backed Yes | 2c | 32,496$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…ddc1backed Yes | 2c | 31,857$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…80f7backed Yes | 1c | 31,774$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 30,923$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.87 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 1c | 30,881$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +82%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…9e40backed Yes | 0c | 30,128$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…86aabacked Yes | 0c | 27,976$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…3757backed Yes | 0c | 27,976$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…2c57backed Yes | 0c | 27,976$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked Yes | 1c | 27,624$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…69bdbacked Yes | 2c | 26,507$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 5c | 26,000$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…e2dcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,824$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6226…ae69backed Yes | 0c | 25,824$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…a47fbacked Yes | 3c | 25,095$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…027fbacked Yes | 2c | 25,039$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5058backed Yes | 2c | 24,361$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…e197backed Yes | 2c | 24,361$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed Yes | 2c | 24,000$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…0044backed Yes | 0c | 23,672$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…ed32backed Yes | 0c | 23,672$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 22,134$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…c256backed Yes | 1c | 21,073$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…fa79backed Yes | 1c | 20,217$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…7fe0backed Yes | 0c | 19,368$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 1c | 18,514$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…b8ddbacked Yes | 1c | 18,293$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…3183backed Yes | 1c | 18,182$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…fcd8backed Yes | 1c | 16,166$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 1c | 16,062$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 1c | 15,143$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 13,921$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…5a7cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,578$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…122dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,432$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Yes | 2c | 13,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…b2e1backed Yes | 0c | 12,912$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…9dcebacked Yes | 0c | 12,912$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf560…02ffbacked Yes | 2c | 12,492$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 12,309$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 1c | 12,215$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…041abacked Yes | 1c | 12,046$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 1c | 11,636$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…0eabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,264$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…6af8backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…92c6backed Yes | 1c | 10,807$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe184…08c5backed Yes | 1c | 10,800$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…a752backed Yes | 0c | 10,760$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Yes | 12c | 10,706$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…2266backed Yes | 1c | 10,408$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…2149backed Yes | 1c | 10,341$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 1c | 9,906$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…a7dbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,823$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 9,619$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9da…dc9abacked Yes | 1c | 9,538$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…1b73backed Yes | 1c | 9,299$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…82c6backed Yes | 1c | 9,125$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…8c78backed Yes | 1c | 9,032$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…9500backed Yes | 1c | 8,661$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 2c | 8,653$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6521…2edabacked Yes | 4c | 8,648$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…5fa3backed Yes | 1c | 8,596$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…98cfbacked Yes | 1c | 8,101$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…ed07backed Yes | 1c | 8,084$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb336…4e71backed Yes | 1c | 8,009$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…9c2abacked Yes | 2c | 7,847$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…14e3backed Yes | 1c | 7,829$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…e416backed Yes | 1c | 7,439$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…bdccbacked Yes | 1c | 7,342$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…0510backed Yes | 2c | 7,250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…eb14backed Yes | 1c | 7,184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,161$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…fab3backed Yes | 1c | 7,111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…ab32backed Yes | 1c | 7,102$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…9fa0backed Yes | 0c | 6,978$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.