Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23df7c359c5641fceed71bd62edda6a4a4997b66566d137a5e639434c8444b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,153,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,786,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,153,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 0c | 787,117$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed Yes | 3c | 339,699$11,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 185,177$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.1 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 5c | 145,471$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.62 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…ce27backed Yes | 4c | 129,226$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…1a7bbacked Yes | 3c | 121,122$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 3c | 111,202$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 4c | 107,167$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…7b5bbacked Yes | 5c | 107,148$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 3c | 100,032$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 4c | 92,328$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.03 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 6c | 89,289$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 5c | 87,877$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 77,806$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.56 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed Yes | 2c | 70,568$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 4c | 65,291$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.16 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…5e8fbacked Yes | 2c | 60,295$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes | 1c | 55,686$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 5c | 53,327$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.43 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3206…da51backed Yes | 4c | 52,953$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 4c | 52,524$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.97 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…df8dbacked Yes | 5c | 50,403$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…481fbacked Yes | 4c | 50,000$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bb…a4c5backed Yes | 4c | 45,198$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…7e9ebacked Yes | 5c | 41,883$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 3c | 40,531$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…624abacked Yes | 4c | 36,451$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 35,471$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.34 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…23cbbacked Yes | 1c | 34,314$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730b…9055backed Yes | 4c | 32,905$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 5c | 31,760$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.72 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Yes | 5c | 29,715$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…f191backed Yes | 4c | 28,745$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…319ebacked Yes | 4c | 27,462$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.06 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…7538backed Yes | 7c | 26,388$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…7444backed Yes | 5c | 25,433$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…de7fbacked Yes | 5c | 24,125$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed Yes | 4c | 23,698$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.53 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0286backed Yes | 4c | 22,968$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…bab1backed Yes | 5c | 22,780$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…18ecbacked Yes | 4c | 22,697$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 4c | 22,111$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.27 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…b565backed Yes | 4c | 21,237$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…313dbacked Yes | 3c | 20,913$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…774ebacked Yes | 8c | 19,889$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…07a7backed Yes | 6c | 19,821$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936c…927abacked Yes | 6c | 18,527$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…c551backed Yes | 6c | 18,504$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…f9d1backed Yes | 5c | 18,225$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…923bbacked Yes | 4c | 17,928$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…a47fbacked Yes | 4c | 17,448$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…4f6ebacked Yes | 5c | 17,366$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 4c | 17,301$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…e2f6backed Yes | 3c | 17,031$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e3…b21fbacked Yes | 5c | 16,920$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…70c9backed Yes | 3c | 16,165$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 4c | 15,975$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.01 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…5a29backed Yes | 4c | 15,730$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…462fbacked Yes | 6c | 15,457$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…66c8backed Yes | 7c | 15,368$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 5c | 15,100$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…080ebacked Yes | 5c | 15,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…2708backed Yes | 7c | 14,841$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0537backed Yes | 7c | 14,721$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…01f8backed Yes | 5c | 14,222$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 4c | 14,002$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.45 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Yes | 5c | 12,848$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 3c | 12,591$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…5563backed Yes | 5c | 12,583$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…4760backed Yes | 4c | 12,329$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…c653backed Yes | 7c | 12,192$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 4c | 11,744$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.06 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd828…519ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,628$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…7c8fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,567$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 11,000$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.32 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Yes | 3c | 10,265$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…0401backed Yes | 6c | 10,065$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…4655backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…210ebacked Yes | 6c | 9,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 4c | 8,407$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…0ca3backed Yes | 5c | 8,104$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…50d9backed Yes | 4c | 7,992$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…3d4bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,925$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Yes | 6c | 7,630$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…271cbacked Yes | 5c | 7,626$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 4c | 7,621$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.08 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…7eafbacked Yes | 4c | 7,503$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…3a7fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…3dacbacked Yes | 4c | 7,500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dda…2839backed Yes | 7c | 7,480$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…2f42backed Yes | 5c | 7,214$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 5c | 7,192$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…0743backed Yes | 6c | 7,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…ed07backed Yes | 4c | 6,772$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…8966backed Yes | 5c | 6,766$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…3a88backed Yes | 4c | 6,661$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 6,652$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,345$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.