Us Politics · resolved market
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547171b466f04230c9a6bfd13a71fb24de3442e10ce5cea95232d970f36fd5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,963,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,565,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,963,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 0c | 1,399,997$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 0c | 1,260,999$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,085,347$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.72 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…910bbacked Yes | 0c | 925,585$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 517,508$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.82 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…af3abacked Yes | 0c | 244,940$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…fcb5backed Yes | 0c | 218,032$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 175,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +411%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…844fbacked Yes | 1c | 147,574$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 125,558$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…916bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 0c | 97,537$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…d452backed Yes | 1c | 93,886$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…dedfbacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…07d1backed Yes | 0c | 85,089$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 81,072$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…d232backed Yes | 0c | 79,150$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…3b67backed Yes | 0c | 73,150$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 0c | 71,936$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…be8fbacked Yes | 1c | 71,044$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…6183backed Yes | 1c | 68,975$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…68f0backed Yes | 0c | 67,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…ab6ebacked Yes | 1c | 63,768$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…0e53backed Yes | 1c | 63,768$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…617fbacked Yes | 1c | 63,168$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…97d9backed Yes | 1c | 63,168$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…258ebacked Yes | 1c | 62,504$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…4eb2backed Yes | 1c | 61,096$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…7836backed Yes | 1c | 60,835$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…4f2abacked Yes | 1c | 59,074$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…d95ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…b655backed Yes | 1c | 58,597$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…ebdebacked Yes | 1c | 57,052$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…2240backed Yes | 0c | 55,401$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…f82cbacked Yes | 0c | 55,401$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…77fcbacked Yes | 0c | 55,401$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…6c67backed Yes | 1c | 55,395$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…4bd9backed Yes | 1c | 55,395$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…c04fbacked Yes | 1c | 55,285$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…0d97backed Yes | 0c | 55,165$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…67ecbacked Yes | 0c | 55,165$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7374backed Yes | 1c | 54,553$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…ecb6backed Yes | 1c | 54,553$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…58f7backed Yes | 1c | 53,283$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dda…a8b4backed Yes | 1c | 53,283$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…989dbacked Yes | 1c | 53,283$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…7718backed Yes | 1c | 53,283$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…417dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…cdb5backed Yes | 1c | 52,531$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…5ae2backed Yes | 0c | 52,333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5ffabacked Yes | 1c | 51,930$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…e629backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2487backed Yes | 1c | 49,334$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…22aebacked Yes | 1c | 49,334$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f636backed Yes | 1c | 48,734$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4266backed Yes | 1c | 47,258$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…a9bbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,667$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…ac56backed Yes | 1c | 46,271$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked Yes | 0c | 46,025$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 0c | 43,530$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…99dbbacked Yes | 1c | 42,478$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…92cfbacked Yes | 1c | 42,478$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e916backed Yes | 1c | 42,372$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…28a0backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…d045backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…3e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 36,906$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…bce4backed Yes | 1c | 36,687$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 0c | 36,478$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…14b3backed Yes | 1c | 34,439$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…3444backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…4ed5backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2c54backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…0207backed Yes | 0c | 32,107$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26e…5366backed Yes | 0c | 30,035$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 1c | 26,298$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…91aabacked Yes | 0c | 25,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…8a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,309$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea3…3027backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f1…adaebacked Yes | 0c | 24,816$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…fea7backed Yes | 0c | 24,005$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 0c | 23,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,962$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…9139backed Yes | 0c | 21,350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…63c1backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…8fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,031$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…11bfbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…3b0cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,404$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…acbfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,960$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Yes | 0c | 18,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…e834backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…6ce1backed Yes | 0c | 16,525$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 0c | 15,531$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…3052backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…d490backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.