La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8014c5a0ab05fe8dbb7a34e9a9a48bec4db099448dbe10a5c2b1cf5dc21b8dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 45c | 27,025$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,933.74 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 22,056$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,863.3 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 55c | 15,049$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,276.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 11,200$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 54c | 11,151$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.3 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.96 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.97 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Under | 55c | 4,982$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.29 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 56c | 4,545$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 47c | 4,217$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 57c | 3,517$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 43c | 2,634$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.51 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,039$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.21 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 1,714$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.15 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.52 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Under | 56c | 1,321$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 1,300$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 1,129$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.66 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 41c | 1,094$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Over | 52c | 967.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 57c | 877.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 862.75$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.64 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…8f23backed Over | 45c | 718.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 715.24$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 667.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 579.97$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 569.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.04 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 555.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 55c | 533$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 45c | 529$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 44c | 502.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 20c | 501.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 53c | 471.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 372.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 56c | 357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 31c | 352.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 347.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…b0adbacked Over | 47c | 336.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 61c | 328.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 55c | 318$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 55c | 299.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 278.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 5c | 278$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 276.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 45c | 257.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 223.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 217.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 191.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 42c | 187.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 56c | 178.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…75bdbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 159.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 50c | 147$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…de04backed Under | 56c | 146.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…3a2cbacked Over | 45c | 137$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 43c | 129.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed Under | 70c | 129.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 45c | 125.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 122.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 44c | 119.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 56c | 115.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 44c | 115.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 113.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed Under | 56c | 96.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.