Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Taro Daniel vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc4f51b4f9353b72e087647a5c8109f7763965be51c0ee566c0ad2bdcd7d0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Mmohof Taro Daniel, Michael Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,338 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michael Mmoh | 29c | 5,748$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 5,156$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…cd4bbacked Taro Daniel | 75c | 2,493$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michael Mmoh | 40c | 2,490$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh | 32c | 1,334$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Taro Daniel | 65c | 1,210$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.67 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Taro Daniel | 61c | 1,163$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.26 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Taro Daniel | 69c | 959.99$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.78 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Mmoh | 69c | 877.38$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Michael Mmoh | 66c | 743.96$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Taro Daniel | 35c | 594.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…bbaabacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 586.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Taro Daniel | 57c | 515.26$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Taro Daniel | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Taro Daniel | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Michael Mmoh | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Taro Daniel | 35c | 447$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michael Mmoh | 44c | 408.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Michael Mmoh | 38c | 397.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Taro Daniel | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Mmoh | 31c | 268.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Taro Daniel | 36c | 257.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Michael Mmoh | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Michael Mmoh | 64c | 232.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Taro Daniel | 40c | 217.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Taro Daniel | 6c | 205.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Taro Daniel | 34c | 170.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Mmoh | 42c | 167.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Taro Daniel | 35c | 158.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Michael Mmoh | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Michael Mmoh | 69c | 145.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Michael Mmoh | 66c | 144.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…5729backed Michael Mmoh | 29c | 130$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michael Mmoh | 58c | 127.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Taro Daniel | 48c | 114.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Mmoh | 35c | 113.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Michael Mmoh | 42c | 110.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Michael Mmoh | 33c | 105.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Michael Mmoh | 67c | 105.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Michael Mmoh | 69c | 91.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Michael Mmoh | 44c | 88.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…4d90backed Michael Mmoh | 14c | 84.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Taro Daniel | 33c | 78.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Michael Mmoh | 38c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Michael Mmoh | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Taro Daniel | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Taro Daniel | 69c | 64.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michael Mmoh | 36c | 63.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Michael Mmoh | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Michael Mmoh | 35c | 57.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Michael Mmoh | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Taro Daniel | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Taro Daniel | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Michael Mmoh | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michael Mmoh | 46c | 42.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Michael Mmoh | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Taro Daniel | 32c | 39.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Michael Mmoh | 45c | 38.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Taro Daniel | 56c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Taro Daniel | 59c | 35.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed Michael Mmoh | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Taro Daniel | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Michael Mmoh | 33c | 31.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Michael Mmoh | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Michael Mmoh | 59c | 30.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Michael Mmoh | 57c | 30.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Michael Mmoh | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…c61abacked Michael Mmoh | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Michael Mmoh | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Taro Daniel | 57c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…0855backed Michael Mmoh | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Mmoh | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.