NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a016bedce2c336b3eb4950d9423e3a772c35fd31c44b5d080a1a0e224c2ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 2,401$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.82 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 1,062$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 556.19$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 539.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 523.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 508.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 440$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 334.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…4a12backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 31c | 272.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…4bc8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 162.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…9494backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 162.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…3547backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 146.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 136.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…d354backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e2…24f9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 100.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…55d0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 85.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3460…98efbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 71.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 70.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 66.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 61.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 60.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…25b0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 32c | 58.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 58.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…9741backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 54.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 48.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…55ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 48.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 47.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 45.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 44.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 40.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…319ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 40.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 38.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 37.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.