Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1871bdb41486dadeb10d63c5cdb73a2ffccb2a20db79c69c6ea5de6f3ce8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 16,395$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,685.55 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 37c | 7,297$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 5,875$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.1 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 43c | 5,497$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.92 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 5,130$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.75 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 42c | 4,941$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.09 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 47c | 4,051$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 3,621$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.87 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 3,345$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 3,208$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 2,839$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.49 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 2,595$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.82 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 51c | 2,139$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.54 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 1,978$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.59 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 1,939$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.39 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 6c | 1,619$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 62c | 1,458$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.93 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 1,402$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.85 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 1,385$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.27 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 28c | 1,273$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 63c | 1,162$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 1,117$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.75 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 64c | 967.95$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 24c | 779.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.85 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 66c | 697$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.71 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 691.13$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.09 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 681.93$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 18c | 632$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 8c | 576.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 49c | 519.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 63c | 476.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 473.9$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 473.9$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 452.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 57c | 406$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 60c | 370$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 327$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 322.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 312.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 70c | 303.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 47c | 301$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 24c | 260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 251.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 62c | 242.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9293backed Yes | 14c | 222.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 216.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 205.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 52c | 186.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Yes | 27c | 182.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 72c | 181.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 61c | 179.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 34c | 176.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 172.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 55c | 144.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 143.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 25c | 141$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 140.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…2563backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…007bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 36c | 137.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 137$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 79c | 126.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 62c | 97.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 57c | 95.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 14c | 89.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 86.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 48c | 83.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 82.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed No | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 38c | 79.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 63c | 78.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 41c | 76.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.