Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce131beeca10a7b824cf277742871de342d4093a18679b8d7024e629d283a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,799 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 23,462$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,372.23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 18,365$12,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,253.83 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 30c | 13,550$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 29c | 11,730$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 9,405$6,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,657.86 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 9,308$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.75 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 6,611$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.6 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 31c | 6,393$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 5,948$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.37 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 5,215$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.03 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a834backed Yes | 18c | 4,367$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 4,036$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.83 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 72c | 3,813$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.07 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 73c | 3,719$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.47 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 69c | 3,579$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 35c | 3,519$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 3,235$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 28c | 3,001$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 70c | 2,812$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 2,669$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.73 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 2,066$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.71 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 1,986$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 1,718$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.91 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…6f28backed Yes | 56c | 1,679$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 1,614$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.04 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 1,538$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.48 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,392$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…f3b9backed Yes | 31c | 1,307$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 70c | 1,275$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 21c | 1,264$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 72c | 1,242$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 39c | 1,130$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.81 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 47c | 1,120$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.03 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 1,119$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.19 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,094$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.07 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 1,006$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.2 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 1,003$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.45 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 31c | 978.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 30c | 965.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 32c | 944.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 884.94$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.23 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 7c | 825$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 29c | 822.72$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 802.27$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.59 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 56c | 762.32$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 68c | 755$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 41c | 747.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 726.92$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 672$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…338bbacked Yes | 77c | 650.47$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 64c | 575.42$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 530.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked No | 72c | 519.44$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 42c | 517$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 59c | 510.86$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 23c | 492.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 470$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 74c | 466$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 39c | 458.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 407.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 404.16$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 65c | 373.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 371.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 74c | 361.56$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 59c | 359.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 28c | 356.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 28c | 298.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Yes | 30c | 297$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 283$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 26c | 281.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed No | 45c | 271.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 30c | 268.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 48c | 266.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 28c | 247.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…83eabacked Yes | 78c | 246.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 72c | 236.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 43c | 227.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 37c | 221.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 9c | 204.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +326.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.