Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e9e2e15a51e93a08ffd9f904918eca47b3f299ce9f66bbc7ceb360bb2dcb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 22c | 13,673$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 12,839$10,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.37 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 26c | 3,700$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,635$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 1,275$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 912.84$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 14c | 899.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 764$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 25c | 608.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 556.59$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 554.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 492.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 480.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 476.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 424.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 394.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 392.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 365$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 298.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 23c | 283.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 23c | 269$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…80fabacked Yes | 25c | 235.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 230.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 26c | 211.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 199$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 38c | 171.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 39c | 168.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 24c | 139.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…858fbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 123.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…7c9bbacked Yes | 19c | 109.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 15c | 92.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 88.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 28c | 88.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 85.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked No | 77c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 21c | 83.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 39c | 82.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 21c | 80.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed No | 77c | 79.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 77.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 77.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 69.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…82e2backed Yes | 18c | 63.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 76c | 60.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ba42backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 36c | 55.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 75c | 54.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Yes | 24c | 46.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…4de3backed Yes | 34c | 44.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 77c | 39.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 37.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 73c | 24.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked No | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 78c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 77c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.