NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434cfca2461f409b2ecda34640fc533160db2ccc5f5df45b2a0ef5e07d1a9503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 8,497$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.32 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 3,294$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 3,071$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.59 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 1,135$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 175.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 173.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 11c | 164.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 117.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 111.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 108.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 65.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 43.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 59c | 42.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 34.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 28.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 59c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 16.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…ab1fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.