TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pelicans50c119,066$59,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,217.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Celtics50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics49c69,124$33,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,253.3672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pelicans51c44,960$22,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,894.3490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans51c43,961$22,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,215.0963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics49c35,043$17,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,843.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics51c24,992$12,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,245.861,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans51c22,586$11,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,449.191,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics52c21,093$10,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,215.461,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans51c17,828$9,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,023.4358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pelicans49c11,250$5,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,512.531,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics47c8,458$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans52c5,717$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.6474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans51c5,492$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.861,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Celtics65c5,289$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.2510239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Celtics53c4,584$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.469357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics51c4,446$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics51c4,435$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.962,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics57c3,646$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics48c3,229$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Pelicans23c2,896$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics72c2,723$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6943269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Celtics51c2,500$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked Pelicans53c2,498$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics80c2,466$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics52c2,112$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics51c1,959$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.111,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics51c1,944$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.6137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pelicans49c1,672$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.3529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Celtics60c1,631$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.934652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Celtics51c1,398$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics51c1,376$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.81,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Celtics52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.96266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Celtics51c1,112$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.0316048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Celtics49c1,080$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9536954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Celtics51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.3845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Celtics51c1,068$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.361,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Celtics45c910.91$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Pelicans55c887.91$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.442842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Celtics46c875.05$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.5317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Celtics51c816.54$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.376450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics50c793.56$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Celtics51c776.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.487454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Celtics50c704.86$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Pelicans50c662.51$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.266852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics50c608.01$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics51c556.15$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.521,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics46c536.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Pelicans55c530.93$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Celtics51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Celtics46c457.35$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Pelicans55c439$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4510745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Celtics48c405.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8238152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics72c405.37$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Pelicans51c404$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Celtics51c399.74$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Celtics53c385.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0432351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Celtics52c373.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics52c367.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pelicans50c299.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Celtics50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4736248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans52c233.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Celtics51c222.46$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1095752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Pelicans55c221.9$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0512857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics51c219.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Celtics50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Celtics50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9745445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Pelicans51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0623650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Celtics78c189.24$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1829665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Celtics51c188.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.683167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Pelicans49c188.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Celtics54c172.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0527553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics57c171.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics51c162.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Celtics46c153.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.082231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Pelicans50c148.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2129352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics48c140.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans47c137.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics50c136.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.241,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Pelicans48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.45166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Pelicans48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.46734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Pelicans49c120.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.059454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Celtics51c114.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Celtics51c113.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.875843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Pelicans52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5263353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Pelicans51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pelicans30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Celtics50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Celtics48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.385356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans48c94.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Celtics53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0915352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Celtics53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0936852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Celtics50c91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.461,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Celtics50c85.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics47c81.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.