TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c13,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.938839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,153$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c5,345$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c4,458$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.1643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c3,737$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.3663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c3,304$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.5790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c2,990$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.0758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c2,878$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over56c2,745$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.4717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over52c2,621$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.4229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under44c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c1,894$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.9871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,819$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.426,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over55c1,738$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.2610847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,679$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c1,673$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c1,673$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.141,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over52c1,257$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c1,186$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c995.13$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c921.78$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.9937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over54c763.32$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under52c659.82$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Under47c517.68$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.312268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x475f…7f9bbacked Over54c494.71$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc197…7246backed Under47c494.4$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c477.54$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6519258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under52c437.53$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Under46c420.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.511931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over52c392.04$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c332.95$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…2022backed Under45c318.14$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d3…53bfbacked Over51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c223.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.687848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2515352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2523650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c183.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under39c173.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Over51c151.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.196756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over52c139.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6710345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under52c130.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9814444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over48c129.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.44544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Over51c124.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.141560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under46c118.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c114.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under44c110.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6916048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c109.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under47c106.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under45c96.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c95.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.639153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6336852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c92.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c89.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Over51c89.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.759046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c87.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over54c78.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under50c73.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over56c71.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.843638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid+51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Over51c68.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.46741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over51c66.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.646550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over56c60.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.779646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under52c56.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.136261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43bf…425abacked Over51c52.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.691656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9511447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c46.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Under46c46.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8977…7f17backed Over52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5414051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c43.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.996558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9914253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7627354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa662…4823backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Over51c37.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over71c35.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.373633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f9…111ebacked Under47c34.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…f8a0backed Over54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…40e2backed Under45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f56…9df8backed Under44c31.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under50c30.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0413155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Under52c29.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.544242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6566…4d9bbacked Over54c29.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd7…932cbacked Under49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over53c27.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.685655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Over56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.472564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.