NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3b7e8cf054e588d7ca507875e831d379f19a888a4a7babda2cece715e517d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,874$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,700$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 53c | 681.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 53c | 458.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 345.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 338.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 58c | 338.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 249.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 239.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 191.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 188.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 186.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 183.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 140.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 49c | 99.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 50c | 63.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 61.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 60.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 59.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 48.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 47c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Over | 52c | 45.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…7d22backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 37.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Under | 44c | 36.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Over | 57c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 23.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…be62backed Over | 55c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 56c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca11…690abacked Over | 57c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Pelicans vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.