NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90233633043cc3ad273bc33a245717da541e3255d6b887db56a91723e76731f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,193$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…7246backed Under | 49c | 982.2$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 22c | 505.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 421.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 249.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 173.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 115.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 108.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 55c | 108.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 106.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…677abacked Over | 52c | 93.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 60.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 56.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 49c | 41.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Over | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 39.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Pelicans vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.