CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a36607a34c4e672d7cd8fcc61b46d21232e52db9949dbc32424ce269649b814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 62c | 45,000$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 38c | 44,069$16,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,735.44 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 39c | 1,106$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 61c | 1,077$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Over | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 61c | 428.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 18c | 182.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Over | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 80c | 148$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…7020backed Over | 39c | 111.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 23c | 104.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed Over | 21c | 92.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 47c | 87.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 63c | 79.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 63c | 77.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Under | 53c | 77.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 77.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…0723backed Under | 63c | 76.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 70.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 62c | 61.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…a63ebacked Over | 28c | 51.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Under | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Under | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 62c | 40.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 68c | 40.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 62c | 36.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 62c | 36.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 62c | 36.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 62c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 80c | 35.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1483backed Under | 71c | 34.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 63c | 32.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…9937backed Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Under | 69c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 73c | 24.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Under | 63c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…52dfbacked Under | 62c | 21.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 71c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.