TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked EYEBALLERS1c9,102$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0213315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed EYEBALLERS43c6,602$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.8757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz64c5,250$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.5176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed EYEBALLERS38c4,309$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.5724346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EYEBALLERS33c3,987$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.992,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz53c3,769$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.179850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS23c3,227$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.631,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz80c2,880$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.327,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EYEBALLERS44c2,587$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.7759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS25c2,559$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EYEBALLERS32c2,539$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.181,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EYEBALLERS34c2,220$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed TheMongolz52c2,026$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.0937445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed EYEBALLERS55c1,996$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed EYEBALLERS33c1,941$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.7117538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS24c1,901$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.781,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS37c1,371$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.666,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz63c1,241$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.3481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EYEBALLERS7c1,183$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed TheMongolz50c1,160$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58010133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz73c1,080$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.571,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed TheMongolz74c1,064$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.713453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed EYEBALLERS2c1,041$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked EYEBALLERS46c995.05$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7224538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz71c985.37$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1127658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked TheMongolz61c960.47$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.421353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed EYEBALLERS48c953.1$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.493435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed TheMongolz54c902.25$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.084348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EYEBALLERS19c853.88$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed TheMongolz75c757.27$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.124944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked EYEBALLERS35c736.74$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2921737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked EYEBALLERS3c638.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.179538.9%37 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed TheMongolz75c608.77$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.198563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked TheMongolz79c591.87$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.824564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed EYEBALLERS52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz72c509.65$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4139970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz62c499.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed EYEBALLERS20c493.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5636554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz73c491.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8152834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed TheMongolz53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3731452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed EYEBALLERS43c482.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.654643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed EYEBALLERS5c432.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.739023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed EYEBALLERS42c416.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6930527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed EYEBALLERS27c389.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.188032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked EYEBALLERS42c371.63$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5625846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed EYEBALLERS21c355.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7578348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked TheMongolz58c335.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1917357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked EYEBALLERS43c309.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed TheMongolz57c305.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.516354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed TheMongolz66c302.19$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.835349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed EYEBALLERS26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7824134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed TheMongolz64c297$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9111133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed EYEBALLERS43c289.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5915133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz58c289.16$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9539258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed EYEBALLERS36c288.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8514443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked TheMongolz73c269.15$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6611147.7%53 W · 58 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1711166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed EYEBALLERS42c251.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0312452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed TheMongolz71c251.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0214151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked EYEBALLERS33c245$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8135744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e08…f3c8backed EYEBALLERS27c216.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TheMongolz59c209.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0578963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed TheMongolz58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8436837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed TheMongolz56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz70c199.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.525,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed EYEBALLERS30c198.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.334,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed TheMongolz65c191.48$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.016426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed EYEBALLERS27c191.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.441,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed EYEBALLERS53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b3…d5c9backed TheMongolz74c176.93$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed EYEBALLERS27c174.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.826651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed TheMongolz45c171.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed EYEBALLERS18c164.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8750947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed TheMongolz60c160.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1367372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed EYEBALLERS37c159.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.418545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed EYEBALLERS38c158.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.779631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed EYEBALLERS37c156.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked EYEBALLERS19c150.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.547536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc80…bfebbacked TheMongolz62c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.571353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed TheMongolz74c148.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7424055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed EYEBALLERS55c145.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0949143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked TheMongolz61c145.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.826460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed EYEBALLERS53c144.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8415132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed TheMongolz61c138.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7449376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked TheMongolz74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5923056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked TheMongolz59c132.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8137757.8%218 W · 159 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked TheMongolz72c130.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2419845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed EYEBALLERS22c130.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed TheMongolz60c125$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked TheMongolz68c120.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.322,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1b…67b1backed EYEBALLERS38c119.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.811526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz65c119.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.322,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed TheMongolz45c119.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5529934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed TheMongolz78c118.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0513267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed EYEBALLERS35c118.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…61c5backed EYEBALLERS43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.293265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed EYEBALLERS20c111.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2260848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked TheMongolz73c108.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2215857.6%91 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked EYEBALLERS37c107.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9210438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked TheMongolz79c107.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.