TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked EYEBALLERS45c7,797$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.4683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked EYEBALLERS47c2,647$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.9784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed TheMongolz55c2,630$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.7935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b2…74b8backed EYEBALLERS32c2,528$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed TheMongolz54c2,442$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.436742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed EYEBALLERS45c2,414$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.1384958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked TheMongolz55c1,291$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1214144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz53c1,123$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52814954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed TheMongolz52c1,091$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.698752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz55c972.77$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5155845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…17b8backed TheMongolz55c768.78$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed EYEBALLERS48c763.5$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed EYEBALLERS46c687$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked EYEBALLERS45c683.78$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8221737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz55c662.17$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9815363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed TheMongolz79c645.85$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked EYEBALLERS43c631.51$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.551,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked TheMongolz54c611.21$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5813051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz56c589.89$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7538954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3a…5998backed TheMongolz54c538.34$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.743455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed EYEBALLERS46c496.35$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3211651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed TheMongolz53c410.34$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EYEBALLERS42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz52c376.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6117840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz62c360.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6729052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed TheMongolz55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2213857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed EYEBALLERS45c349.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4917849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed TheMongolz55c330.82$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.878032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed EYEBALLERS48c329.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1145244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed EYEBALLERS45c313.87$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked TheMongolz52c309.69$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.754949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed TheMongolz52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9923851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked TheMongolz55c291.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3613845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz55c291.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3625143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz55c283.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3717053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed EYEBALLERS31c271.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked TheMongolz66c261.61$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2410949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz51c252.9$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.921,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed TheMongolz53c220$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.86266.1%41 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed TheMongolz55c211.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.055162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed TheMongolz55c209.39$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2347641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5739258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed EYEBALLERS45c181.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.144555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…7b92backed EYEBALLERS55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed EYEBALLERS48c163.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3519653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked EYEBALLERS42c156.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7747260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd07c…26fdbacked TheMongolz55c152.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed TheMongolz55c145.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6814856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed TheMongolz57c140.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.438359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz59c119.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7332561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed TheMongolz57c116.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2723057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz45c111.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.393,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked EYEBALLERS48c100.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed TheMongolz55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7918239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked TheMongolz77c90.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.29152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…56aebacked TheMongolz57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.754156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed EYEBALLERS48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed TheMongolz54c77.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3218061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed EYEBALLERS47c66.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1861154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed EYEBALLERS31c63.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed TheMongolz55c61.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed EYEBALLERS46c59.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0936846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed TheMongolz60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked TheMongolz53c54.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3818451.1%94 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed TheMongolz55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8822444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed TheMongolz55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8854439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked TheMongolz56c51.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6747146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed TheMongolz57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0518254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed TheMongolz57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0516457.9%95 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…7825backed EYEBALLERS23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed TheMongolz78c48.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed TheMongolz53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5411650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked EYEBALLERS45c39.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.973732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45db…08f3backed EYEBALLERS45c39.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed EYEBALLERS26c39.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.382,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz54c38.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked TheMongolz54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.563450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed TheMongolz57c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4349947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed TheMongolz55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9220145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb972…f81cbacked TheMongolz57c34.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.874163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed TheMongolz57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked TheMongolz57c33.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.324942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed TheMongolz59c31.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8431345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e6…9a08backed TheMongolz53c29.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed TheMongolz60c29.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7173658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked TheMongolz53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.730748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed TheMongolz53c27.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fb…42c5backed TheMongolz59c26.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed TheMongolz57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.026459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked TheMongolz57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0220656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac3…8fb0backed EYEBALLERS48c22.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed TheMongolz54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215151%77 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed TheMongolz53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1321762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.