TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf888…1c98backed Yes37c14,962$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c8,944$4,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.0846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c6,540$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.2313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027d…9606backed Yes35c6,457$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes40c5,096$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.011450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes52c3,838$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed No44c3,306$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.421573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c2,850$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.4398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes42c2,599$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.3815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c2,439$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.624452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c1,760$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.895246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No62c1,481$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.544553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No31c1,250$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.999336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Yes9c1,223$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes60c1,015$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.4747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No66c981.16$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes46c868.31$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.23354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No60c839.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.316352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No42c769$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c768.4$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.935257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No66c754.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.831952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No60c724.33$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.985754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Yes58c706$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c624.08$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.265255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes34c588$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.923256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes58c563.78$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No38c532.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.27933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes41c455$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes38c438.21$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.522878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd1f4…c90bbacked Yes70c415.21$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes32c391.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c352$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2516858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No61c341.72$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.255154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c338.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No62c322.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.774355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20770%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c296.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No70c292.36$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes68c291.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.796471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c215.65$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8530055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes29c211$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes64c203.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.371154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes46c202$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.272759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No69c199.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No72c192.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.771546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No57c190.32$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.885352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No79c187$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes30c176$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No63c159.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.96549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No63c159.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.93756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No70c157$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.15853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No70c157$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.15244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No71c140.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.172653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes67c139.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes30c138$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.46147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…c27dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No54c125.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Yes33c121.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No71c119.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes30c117.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes41c113.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.497254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c108$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.362462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Yes61c107.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2a9cbacked Yes76c105$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed No71c101.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.415100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes45c101.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb161…9132backed Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c97.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2211752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes70c90$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc776…4c67backed No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No47c85.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes17c83.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4312532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes35c77.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.256823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No39c76.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.395255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes20c76.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…761fbacked Yes63c73.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No72c72.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.977100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No46c68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+383.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No56c67.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d5…dfcbbacked Yes75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No32c65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes45c54.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes31c54.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.983357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No79c53.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No62c52.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.965853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.