Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b34181c5424d53fd24b55ca929d17a0b5e807ab699d01bfd2297e11704bd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 26c | 9,593$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 5,515$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.41 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,790$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.54 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 1,720$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.61 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,512$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.99 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 39c | 899.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 796.45$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 713$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.75 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 77c | 353.73$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 15c | 311.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 24c | 273.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 41c | 268.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Yes | 79c | 252.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 58c | 243.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Yes | 25c | 235$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 205.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 37c | 190$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 58c | 171.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 74c | 171.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 43c | 171$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 149.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 39c | 127.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 115.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 39c | 111.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Yes | 76c | 105.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2a9cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 98.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 16c | 85.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 14c | 72.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 28c | 71.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 30c | 63.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 46c | 57.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 61c | 48.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…c27dbacked Yes | 72c | 45.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 26c | 45.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 62c | 43.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 62c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 62c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 62c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 46c | 39.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 48c | 31.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 67c | 28.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 75c | 26.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 63c | 25.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 61c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 63c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 63c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 64c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.