South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba69afa28ef8305eb43f5600045056c1fcaccb931c15da29ef924f7fcfd6440e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 2,206$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,933$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.04 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 63c | 1,801$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.42 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 1,473$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,206$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 37c | 1,155$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.22 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 1,090$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 64c | 929.48$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 843.85$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 631.05$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 64c | 535.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 9c | 509.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 500.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 37c | 449.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 401.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 63c | 356.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 38c | 342.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 324.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…fc9dbacked Yes | 8c | 321.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Yes | 13c | 319.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…cf2dbacked Yes | 12c | 295.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 251.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 13c | 216.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 32c | 198.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 37c | 185.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Yes | 36c | 173.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 13c | 172.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 63c | 101.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 66c | 97.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Yes | 37c | 91.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 81.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 37c | 76.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…ade9backed Yes | 31c | 65.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Yes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 80c | 56.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 47.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 47.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 31c | 44.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e6…2760backed Yes | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 73c | 26.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed No | 76c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 67c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.