TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes33c13,034$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No28c4,833$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.4514443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c4,755$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.052,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c4,082$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.383,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c3,310$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.41,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes3c3,101$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.181330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c2,434$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.261,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No28c1,581$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.4114570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No67c1,463$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.795651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c1,462$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No21c791.43$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.956866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes13c747.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5239127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No36c712.28$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3412827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes37c646.19$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.586944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c553.79$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.438,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes35c411.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.154055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c397.44$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No53c397.44$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No59c384.21$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No14c358.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.476369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No31c343.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No28c342.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.372330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes57c339.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes72c323$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.564637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes57c306.2$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No34c300.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.073444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes60c297.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.764753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.564042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes34c276.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c275.61$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.131,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c273.9$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No55c267.33$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c263.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.051,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b17…b58dbacked Yes34c251.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes62c232.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c219.26$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes57c213.01$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes47c209.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4731355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed No63c206.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed No67c193.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No67c191.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.075962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes64c189.88$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.336274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes6c176.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5916740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c167.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.022,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c157.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.972,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c154.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.881,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…6a0dbacked Yes64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c150.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.061,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No46c150.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8418859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No67c146.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No67c146.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2717857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No67c124.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1320953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c124.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.831,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes64c118.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.881,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed No12c111.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed No65c110.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.063669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes38c101.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes54c99.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.447839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No34c99.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6526160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48a2…f877backed Yes35c98.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…a62dbacked Yes13c97.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes33c95.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6710331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes33c95.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.675949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c91.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c5…c9c5backed No64c90.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes73c87.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.04850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.791850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed No37c78.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.154454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac3c…a1f7backed Yes64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…e185backed Yes34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No61c62.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.959657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adb…1cb9backed Yes34c58.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes64c54.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.225444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes64c51.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.939361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No68c51.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.631283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes32c49.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes35c49.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1424654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fef…ac25backed Yes33c48.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…c0bfbacked Yes60c48.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No47c47.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3313451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Yes33c47.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.484415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes63c46.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes54c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.841,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked No35c41.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7718145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes62c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.411040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c39.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes57c39.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.411,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c38.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes64c38.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.586558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes39c37.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8232936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0715654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed No67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No66c32.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.14761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Yes65c30.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.583467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed No67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes58c26.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5729362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.