South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0309cc4bd1bc1e69d2f25fff37eb663130f101ca6fe7895b2161cb2b5b794b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 69c | 4,625$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,412$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 2,016$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,566$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.49 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 2c | 1,386$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,054$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 765.55$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.88 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 666.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 31c | 660.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 616.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.34 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 549.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 32c | 391.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 314.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 75c | 304.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 276.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 192.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…ccdfbacked Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 69c | 143$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 74c | 134.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 27c | 132.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 129.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 29c | 126.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…0f5ebacked No | 67c | 115.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 66c | 115.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 101.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 95.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 80.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 67.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 77c | 65.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 31c | 57.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 27c | 56.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 31c | 51.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 26c | 43.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 74c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 76c | 24.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed No | 68c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 16.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.