Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97519bcf1894aa356a757f9224afa4c28a725344d0a61ba44c47ed8531fe2d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 1,292$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.41 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,072$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 34c | 759.08$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 53c | 711.16$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.83 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 673.03$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.73 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 35c | 648.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 569.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.61 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 329.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 312.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 274$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 257.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 248$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 33c | 208$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 198.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 158.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 130.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 108.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 96.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 22c | 89.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 82.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 55.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 50.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 46.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 74c | 36.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 68c | 34.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 32.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Yes | 41c | 26.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 80c | 21.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 19.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 73c | 18.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.