Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd722c3413a7ebf83de118c2686198d09db0f12590727b66243052479f5d3e2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 1c | 32,564$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,532$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,776$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.77 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.83 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,475$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.19 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 2,262$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed No | 78c | 1,512$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,249$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 27c | 1,112$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…423dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,054$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 26c | 1,001$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.05 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 29c | 721.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 38c | 720$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 30c | 666.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 10c | 554.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 50c | 514.42$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 500.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 54c | 499$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Yes | 23c | 475.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 445.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 24c | 410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 50c | 373$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 368$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 12c | 337.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 328.89$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 303.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 24c | 266.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 41c | 243.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 19c | 234.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 221.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 18c | 198.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 184.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 39c | 114.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 19c | 93.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…f3b9backed Yes | 32c | 87.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 59c | 85.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 66c | 84.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…0256backed Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed Yes | 67c | 80.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 41c | 77.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1546backed Yes | 67c | 72.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 37c | 65.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 65.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…636ebacked Yes | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 56.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 55.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 59c | 54.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 40c | 53.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 46.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 69c | 44.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 33.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Yes | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.